Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 71.981357 80.270671 88.833226 98.316943 108.504819 119.098870 130.926366
2025-01-26 60.557278 72.898109 86.318762 101.903159 119.406561 138.365415 160.358601
2025-02-02 53.715354 68.188685 84.490306 104.020461 126.589724 151.664789 181.438471
2025-02-09 47.792819 63.661406 82.103330 104.807161 131.689399 162.197489 199.121986
2025-02-16 44.561940 61.831472 82.435205 108.373044 139.691456 175.837325 220.244135
2025-02-23 40.880654 59.032267 81.244330 109.805023 144.925844 186.092820 237.360306
2025-03-02 36.352434 54.737822 77.835258 108.181401 146.187084 191.423205 248.512028
2025-03-09 32.787055 51.377211 75.316911 107.402487 148.261906 197.569025 260.535647
2025-03-16 29.943769 48.738417 73.512225 107.334213 151.065689 204.499206 273.461083
2025-03-23 28.671139 48.146805 74.309789 110.560813 158.001877 216.536464 292.706472
2025-03-30 26.673444 46.365302 73.373938 111.399807 161.809249 224.652602 307.140705
2025-04-06 24.704796 44.469932 72.149113 111.739337 164.887537 231.811420 320.389536
2025-04-13 21.873871 41.122481 68.776940 109.095170 164.041633 234.054400 327.631129
2025-04-20 21.189024 41.011564 69.977781 112.739333 171.585372 247.138297 348.749908
2025-04-27 20.185516 40.312946 70.261896 115.060588 177.340217 257.934100 367.023637
2025-05-04 18.856940 38.987083 69.539573 115.896765 181.048838 266.069114 381.933970
2025-05-11 18.418142 39.084947 70.918710 119.729721 188.878627 279.664991 403.995907
2025-05-18 17.433127 38.188278 70.733985 121.267048 193.534672 289.098516 420.727503
2025-05-25 15.746926 35.952160 68.373314 119.523570 193.549367 292.320217 429.343878
2025-06-01 14.407821 34.213925 66.688849 118.686915 194.764069 297.102754 439.996948
2025-06-08 13.337850 32.873519 65.559131 118.613578 197.013394 303.259766 452.478790
2025-06-15 13.056973 32.981440 66.761370 122.078564 204.346916 316.364178 474.273608
2025-06-22 12.293060 32.108271 66.308394 122.979212 207.980123 324.443345 489.424893